Monday, August 25, 2008

Brazil's Murder Rate

The Economist has an interesting piece on the falling murder rate in Brazil. It is still the 4th highest among larger countries, but there is a declining trend especially in Sao Paulo.

I still have the desire to move to Brazil, at least temporarily, but the high murder rate and the shady policing has scared me out of it, especially considering taking a wife and kids there.

I only lived in Sao Paulo for a couple of months and my experience was in a remarkably small geographical area. But I did get a sense of how astonishingly huge the city is and the mass of people that live there. Given the institutional structure there, I imagine it is very difficult to prevent, investigate and solve crimes. However, the murder rate has decreased by half in the last five years. Surprisingly, I read in another article from the same magazine a few weeks ago that the number of murders per 100,000 people is actually lower in Sao Paulo than in Washington, D.C.

As for the possible reasons this article offers, I don't believe the bit on tighter gun control. Black markets are alive and well I believe. I'd like to know what has happened, and if I were to start looking into it I'd begin looking at policing tactics. As the article mentions, a high number of killings involve police.

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